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Gafsa vs Kasserine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Charfeddine O.
31' Event
Charfeddine O.
77' Event
Salhi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Gafsa and Kasserine finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasserine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gafsa
15%
Draws
48%
Kasserine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gafsa haven't matched Kasserine's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 68%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafsa Kasserine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Kasserine
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Kasserine
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Gafsa
2:1
Feb 16, 2020 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Kasserine
2:1
Nov 10, 2019 Tunisia Cup
Gafsa vs Kasserine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gafsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Salhi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kasserine Compare

Top Goalscorer Charfeddine O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafsa 41 / 100
Kasserine 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafsa Kasserine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gafsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafsa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kasserine has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gafsa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gafsa VS Kasserine
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafsa

(Home)
04 Oct
Korba
3 : 0
Gafsa
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
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Kasserine

(Away)
04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0
Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)