Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra 2 vs Hereti

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra 2 in this Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gagra 2
15%
Draws
49%
Hereti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereti lately — more wins on the board than Gagra 2.
  • Model gives Gagra 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gagra 2 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gagra 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Hereti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra 2 Hereti
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.29 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Hereti vs Gagra 2
3:0
Dec 8, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra 2 vs Hereti
6:1
Oct 6, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Hereti vs Gagra 2
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 2 66 / 100
Hereti 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra 2 Hereti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 43 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hereti registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gagra 2's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gagra 2 VS Hereti
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra 2

(Home)
26 Jun
Gagra 2
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
20 Jul
Gagra 2
0 : 5
Dinamo Batumi
20 Jun
Gagra 2
2 : 0
WIT Georgia 2
19 May
Gagra 2
0 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
12 May
Gagra 2
0 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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Hereti

(Away)
23 May
Hereti
4 : 2
IBSU Tbilisi
19 May
Kolkheti 1913
4 : 0
Hereti
14 May
Hereti
0 : 2
35-e Skola
07 May
Dinamo Batumi
1 : 0
Hereti
02 May
Hereti
2 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
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