Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra 2 vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 game between Gagra 2 and Merani Tbilisi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gagra 2
15%
Draws
69%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gagra 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra 2 Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
0:4
Mar 6, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Oct 19, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 2 14 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra 2 Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Merani Tbilisi conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gagra 2 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Gagra 2 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gagra 2 VS Merani Tbilisi
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra 2

(Home)
26 Jun
Gagra 2
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
20 Jul
Gagra 2
0 : 5
Dinamo Batumi
20 Jun
Gagra 2
2 : 0
WIT Georgia 2
19 May
Gagra 2
0 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
12 May
Gagra 2
0 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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