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Gagra vs BKMA

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gagra and BKMA finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gagra
30%
Draws
19%
BKMA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gagra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gagra a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gagra Clean Sheet 20%
BKMA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra BKMA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Gagra vs BKMA
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 85 / 100
BKMA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra BKMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Gagra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gagra scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

BKMA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS BKMA
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1
Spaeri
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2
Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4
Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
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BKMA

(Away)
15 Aug
BKMA
1 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
10 Aug
Alashkert
3 : 0
BKMA
01 Aug
BKMA
0 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
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