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Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra host Dinamo Batumi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This one's hard to separate. Gagra have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Dinamo Batumi's 1.75 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Gagra have won 2 to Dinamo Batumi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.81 - 1.94) back Dinamo Batumi to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gagra
35%
Draws
45%
Dinamo Batumi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Batumi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dinamo Batumi lately — more wins on the board than Gagra.
  • Model gives Dinamo Batumi a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Dinamo Batumi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
2:2
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 18 / 100
Dinamo Batumi 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Dinamo Batumi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Batumi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Gagra's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dinamo Batumi has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Gagra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Dinamo Batumi
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Batumi

(Away)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
13 Sept
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)