Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Gagra Logo

Gagra

2 - 1
FT
Dinamo Tbilisi Logo

Dinamo Tbilisi

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Andreychuk A.
Assist: Zoidze S.
32' Event
Peikrishvili A.
Assist: Tsintsadze M.
46'
Sub
Tsikolia L. In: Yoro A.
Out: Tsikolia L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gagra in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gagra
35%
Draws
45%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gagra haven't matched Dinamo Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Dinamo Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gagra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Gagra Clean Sheet 16%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
4:0
Jun 14, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
0:1
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
2:4
Sep 13, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gagra Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreychuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peikrishvili A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 11 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Dinamo Tbilisi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Gagra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)