Sport Picks

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Gagra vs Spaeri

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra host Spaeri in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gagra at 1.5 goals for, 0.88 against; Spaeri at 1.25 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Gagra have won 1 to Spaeri's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.06, favoring Spaeri. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gagra
28%
Draws
22%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gagra haven't matched Spaeri's recent run of results.
  • Gagra are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spaeri have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Gagra Clean Sheet 20%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Spaeri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Gagra
3:0
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Spaeri
0:3
Nov 5, 2024 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Gagra
3:2
Dec 12, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Gagra
3:2
Dec 8, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Spaeri
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 49 / 100
Spaeri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gagra stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gagra found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Spaeri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Spaeri
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1
Gagra
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Spaeri

(Away)
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
16 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Spaeri
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)