Sport Picks
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi 
Match Events
21'
21'
Tchavtchanidze Z.
Own Goal
32'
32'
Bliznichenko V.
46'
46'
Sub
Andreychuk A. In: Goshteliani G.
Out: Andreychuk A.
AI Match Summary
The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Torpedo Kutaisi come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
- Model gives Gagra a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gagra Clean Sheet 17%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gagra | Torpedo Kutaisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
May 28, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gagra Compare
Top Goalscorer Goshteliani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Torpedo Kutaisi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gagra 75 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gagra Torpedo Kutaisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gagra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torpedo Kutaisi has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Gagra scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Gagra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gagra VS Torpedo Kutaisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gagra
(Home) 19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0 Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0 Dusheti
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1 Spaeri
Page 1 of 4
Torpedo Kutaisi
(Away) 20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2 Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2 Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1 Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2 Torpedo Kutaisi
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
22 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 2 Torpedo Kutaisi
07 Aug
FC Rustavi
1 : 0 Torpedo Kutaisi
26 Jul
Iveria Khashuri
1 : 3 Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45:30 | 48 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Rustavi | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 32:23 | 46 |
| 4 | Iberia 1999 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 40 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 38:52 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:37 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:43 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20:44 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
