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Gainare Tottori vs Cerezo Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the J.League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Gainare Tottori have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Cerezo Osaka's 1.68 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Cerezo Osaka slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2021, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Cerezo Osaka. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gainare Tottori
20%
Draws
46%
Cerezo Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerezo Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerezo Osaka come out ahead of Gainare Tottori on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cerezo Osaka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 18%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori Cerezo Osaka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2021 Emperors Cup
Cerezo Osaka vs Gainare Tottori
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 31 / 100
Cerezo Osaka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori Cerezo Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cerezo Osaka let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gainare Tottori has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS Cerezo Osaka
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Cerezo Osaka

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -