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Gainsborough vs Avro

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Gainsborough and Avro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gainsborough
20%
Draws
47%
Avro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gainsborough haven't matched Avro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%
Avro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainsborough Avro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Avro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainsborough 30 / 100
Avro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainsborough Avro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gainsborough scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Avro conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gainsborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainsborough VS Avro
2 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainsborough

(Home)
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2
Gainsborough
22 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 1
Bury FC
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Avro

(Away)
05 Sept
Avro
0 : 2
Witton Albion
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4
Avro
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3
Stockton
26 Aug
Avro
4 : 4
Leek Town
22 Aug
Hyde
0 : 1
Avro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 8 6 1 1 23:5 19
2 Avro 8 6 1 1 26:16 19
3 Redcar Athletic 8 5 3 0 15:4 18
4 Warrington Town 8 5 2 1 17:10 17
5 Guiseley 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
6 Bury FC 8 4 1 3 15:8 13
7 Curzon Ashton 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
8 Gainsborough 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
9 Workington 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
10 Alfreton 8 4 0 4 15:9 12
11 Warrington Rylands 8 4 0 4 11:12 12
12 Ashton United 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
13 Hyde 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
14 AFC Emley 8 2 4 2 8:11 10
15 Lancaster 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
16 Whitby 8 3 0 5 11:23 9
17 Ilkeston 8 2 1 5 5:18 7
18 Leek Town 8 1 3 4 15:16 6
19 Quorn 8 1 3 4 11:19 6
20 Bamber Bridge 8 1 3 4 11:22 6
21 Stockton 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
22 United of Manchester 8 0 2 6 8:18 2
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
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