Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GAIS vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Nordic Wellness Arena, Göteborg
3 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Holmen K.
Assist: Niklasson R.
34'
Salter S.
61'
Sub
Beckman F. In: Wangberg A.
Out: Beckman F.

AI Match Summary

GAIS in this Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
GAIS
30%
Draws
37%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • AIK have won more games recently than GAIS.
  • Model gives GAIS a 33% chance of winning this.
  • AIK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AIK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
GAIS Clean Sheet 16%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS AIK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs GAIS
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
GAIS vs AIK
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs GAIS
1:1
Mar 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs AIK
0:1
Jul 29, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs GAIS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GAIS Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niklasson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohanna Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hove J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 75 / 100
AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GAIS found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AIK conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

GAIS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS AIK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
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AIK

(Away)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1