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GAIS vs Hammarby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Skoglund H.
26' Event
Niklasson R.
45'
Agren O.

AI Match Summary

GAIS in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GAIS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
GAIS
20%
Draws
47%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than GAIS.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
GAIS Clean Sheet 15%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Hammarby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
2:0
May 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Hammarby
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Hammarby
3:2
Aug 26, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GAIS Compare

Top Goalscorer Niklasson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salter S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hammarby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 30 / 100
Hammarby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GAIS scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Hammarby has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: GAIS remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Hammarby
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
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Hammarby

(Away)
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
5 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
6 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
7 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
8 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)