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GAIS vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GAIS host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: GAIS at 1.6 goals for, 1.2 against; Malmo FF at 1.61 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, GAIS have won 0 to Malmo FF's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back GAIS to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
GAIS
20%
Draws
47%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GAIS come out ahead of Malmo FF on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Malmo FF taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
GAIS Clean Sheet 16%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Malmo FF
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs GAIS
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs GAIS
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Malmo FF
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Malmo FF
0:0
May 16, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs GAIS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 10 / 100
Malmo FF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GAIS scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Malmo FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

GAIS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Malmo FF
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
30 Jul
Nordsjaelland
6 : 0
GAIS
26 Jul
GAIS
1 : 1
Halmstad
23 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
02 Aug
Brommapojkarna
1 : 2
Malmo FF
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 15 13 2 0 42:17 41
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Djurgarden 14 8 2 4 33:15 26
4 Hacken 15 6 7 2 28:23 25
5 Malmo FF 15 7 2 6 30:25 23
6 AIK 15 6 4 5 18:21 22
7 Vasteras SK 15 6 4 5 24:29 22
8 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 19:21 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
12 Brommapojkarna 15 4 5 6 20:24 17
13 IFK Goteborg 15 4 4 7 19:33 16
14 Orgryte 15 3 4 8 17:33 13
15 Degerfors 15 2 4 9 12:26 10
16 Halmstad 15 1 4 10 11:31 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)