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Gaj Mace vs Bistra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaj Mace in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaj Mace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaj Mace
15%
Draws
46%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bistra lately — more wins on the board than Gaj Mace.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%
Bistra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Bistra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Bistra
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Gaj Mace
2:1
May 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Gaj Mace
4:0
Oct 11, 2020 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Bistra
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 30 / 100
Bistra 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Bistra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gaj Mace stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaj Mace VS Bistra
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)