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Gaj Mace vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Gaj Mace and Segesta finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gaj Mace
15%
Draws
53%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Segesta come out ahead of Gaj Mace on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Segesta
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 22
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.56
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Segesta
1:3
Oct 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Gaj Mace
1:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Gaj Mace
0:0
Nov 22, 2020 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Segesta
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 14 / 100
Segesta 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Segesta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Gaj Mace has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
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Segesta

(Away)
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)