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Gaj Mace vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Gaj Mace and Trnje finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaj Mace
15%
Draws
46%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaj Mace haven't matched Trnje's recent run of results.
  • Trnje are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trnje here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 20%
Trnje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Trnje
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Trnje
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Gaj Mace
3:2
May 1, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Trnje
0:2
Oct 28, 2020 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Gaj Mace
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 20 / 100
Trnje 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Trnje has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gaj Mace stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trnje
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
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Trnje

(Away)
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)