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Gaj Mace vs Varazdin

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Latkovic A.
38' Event
Dabro M.
56' Event
Saban M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Varazdin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gaj Mace
20%
Draws
46%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Varazdin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Varazdin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 18%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Varazdin
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Croatian Cup
Gaj Mace vs Varazdin
1:7
Sep 11, 2024 Croatian Cup
Gaj Mace vs Varazdin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaj Mace Compare

Top Goalscorer Saban M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Latkovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 10 / 100
Varazdin 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Varazdin has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Gaj Mace remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varazdin
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 7

Varazdin

(Away)
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1
Varazdin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2