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Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Gretna 2008

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gala Fairydean Rovers play Gretna 2008 in the Lowland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gala Fairydean Rovers averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Gretna 2008 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Gala Fairydean Rovers won 3, Gretna 2008 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Gala Fairydean Rovers and 1.13 for Gretna 2008. This points to a Gala Fairydean Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16%
Draws
30%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Gala Fairydean Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gala Fairydean Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Gretna 2008.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 21%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gala Fairydean Rovers Gretna 2008
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 15 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Gretna 2008
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Gretna 2008
0:2
Apr 6, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gala Fairydean Rovers 53 / 100
Gretna 2008 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gala Fairydean Rovers Gretna 2008

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gala Fairydean Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gala Fairydean Rovers & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gala Fairydean Rovers attacking → ← attacking Gretna 2008

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gala Fairydean Rovers scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Gretna 2008 let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gala Fairydean Rovers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gretna 2008 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 28
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418