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Galapagar vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Buceta P.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Galapagar
20%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Canillas haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Galapagar a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 20%
Canillas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Canillas
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Canillas
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Galapagar
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Canillas
2:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Galapagar
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Galapagar
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Buceta P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Canillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 85 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Canillas's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
Page 1 of 7

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)