Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Garcia S.
57'
57'
Pastor F.
68'
68'
Gomez de Figueroa A.
AI Match Summary
Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Carabanchel haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Galapagar taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Carabanchel
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Galapagar
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Galapagar
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Carabanchel
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Carabanchel
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galapagar Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Carabanchel Compare
Top Goalscorer Pastor F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galapagar 95 / 100
Carabanchel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galapagar Carabanchel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Galapagar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Galapagar scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Carabanchel let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Galapagar VS Carabanchel
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Galapagar
(Home) 20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5 Galapagar
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 3
Carabanchel
(Away) 10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
28 Mar
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Carabanchel
15 Mar
Tres Cantos
1 : 0 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
