Sport Picks
Galapagar vs Collado Villalba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
17'
17'
Gomez de Figueroa A.
58'
58'
Alonso Moran J.
83'
83'
Buceta P.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Galapagar and Collado Villalba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Galapagar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Collado Villalba carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Galapagar a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Galapagar have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galapagar | Collado Villalba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Galapagar
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Collado Villalba
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Galapagar
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Collado Villalba
2:2
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Collado Villalba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galapagar Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buceta P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Collado Villalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso Moran J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galapagar 77 / 100
Collado Villalba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galapagar Collado Villalba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Galapagar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Collado Villalba let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Galapagar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Galapagar
(Home) 04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 4
Collado Villalba
(Away) 11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
06 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
5 : 2 Collado Villalba
23 Mar
Canillas
0 : 2 Collado Villalba
09 Mar
AD Torrejon
2 : 1 Collado Villalba
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
