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Galatas vs CA Itapemirim

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Campeonato Capixaba 2016
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Galatas
15%
Draws
0%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galatas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Galatas have won more games recently than CA Itapemirim.
  • Galatas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Galatas Clean Sheet 20%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatas CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.17 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Galatas
1:0
Mar 26, 2017 Capixaba
Galatas vs CA Itapemirim
2:2
Apr 23, 2016 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Galatas
1:1
Apr 2, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs CA Itapemirim
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs CA Itapemirim
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatas 85 / 100
CA Itapemirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatas CA Itapemirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galatas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Itapemirim has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

CA Itapemirim's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Galatas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Galatas VS CA Itapemirim
1.29 Goals Scored 0.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Galatas

(Home)
20 Sept
Galatas
0 : 2
Serra
14 Sept
Sport-ES
1 : 2
Galatas
05 Sept
Pinheiros
3 : 1
Galatas
30 Aug
Galatas
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Aug
GEL
1 : 1
Galatas
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CA Itapemirim

(Away)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
2 Galatas 10 4 5 1 12:8 17
3 Real Noroeste 10 5 1 4 10:10 16
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 10 4 1 5 13:16 13
5 Rio Branco ES 10 4 0 6 11:14 12
6 CA Itapemirim 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Play Offs)