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Galdar vs Arguineguin

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Galdar and Arguineguin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Galdar
30%
Draws
23%
Arguineguin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Galdar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Galdar a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Galdar Clean Sheet 20%
Arguineguin Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galdar Arguineguin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Galdar vs Arguineguin
1:0
Oct 10, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arguineguin vs Galdar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galdar 49 / 100
Arguineguin 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galdar Arguineguin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arguineguin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Galdar's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Galdar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arguineguin's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Galdar VS Arguineguin
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galdar

(Home)
08 May
Tijarafe
4 : 1
Galdar
25 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Galdar
18 Apr
Galdar
1 : 1
Teror
09 Apr
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 2
Galdar
07 Apr
Galdar
0 : 0
Las Palmas B
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Arguineguin

(Away)
28 Jul
Arguineguin
0 : 1
Las Palmas
17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3
UD Tegueste
10 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Arguineguin
06 May
Arguineguin
0 : 3
Los Llanos
03 May
CD Marino
2 : 0
Arguineguin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)