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Galicia vs Bahia de Feira

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Ronan

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Bahia de Feira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Galicia
15%
Draws
42%
Bahia de Feira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia de Feira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bahia de Feira's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Bahia de Feira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia de Feira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Galicia Clean Sheet 22%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Bahia de Feira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Baiano
Galicia vs Bahia de Feira
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Baiano 2
Bahia de Feira vs Galicia
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Bahia de Feira
0:1
May 3, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Bahia de Feira
0:0
Mar 5, 2017 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Galicia
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galicia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bahia de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 24 / 100
Bahia de Feira 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Bahia de Feira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Bahia de Feira has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Bahia de Feira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Bahia de Feira
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

Bahia de Feira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bahia de Feira 4
Fluminense de Feira 1
Itabuna 0
Galicia 1
Final
Bahia de Feira 3
Galicia 2