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Galicia vs Doce Mel

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2019 game between Galicia and Doce Mel finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doce Mel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Galicia
20%
Draws
20%
Doce Mel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Doce Mel have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Galicia are scoring more at 1.11.
  • Win probability leans Galicia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Doce Mel
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.11 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Doce Mel
0:2
Mar 16, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Galicia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 58 / 100
Doce Mel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Doce Mel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doce Mel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Doce Mel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Galicia scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 8

Doce Mel

(Away)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Olimpia 10 7 2 1 19:5 23
2 Doce Mel 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
3 UNIRB 10 5 2 3 11:12 17
4 Cajazeiras 10 4 2 4 15:13 14
5 Canaa EC 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
6 Galicia 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2019 (Play Offs)