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Galicia vs Grapiuna

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Baiano 2 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2022 game between Galicia and Grapiuna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grapiuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Galicia
15%
Draws
46%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galicia come out ahead of Grapiuna on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Galicia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Galicia Clean Sheet 19%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Grapiuna
Matches Played 49 39
Wins 15 10
Draws 19 9
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Grapiuna
8:1
Jun 16, 2024 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Galicia
2:0
Jun 4, 2023 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Grapiuna
0:0
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Grapiuna
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 76 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 65% of their last 49 outings.

Grapiuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

Recent resilience: Galicia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Grapiuna
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)