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Galicia vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Galicia host Ipitanga in the Baiano 2 2012. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Galicia have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Ipitanga's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Galicia have won 4 to Ipitanga's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2013, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 1.06, favoring Galicia. Galicia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Galicia
6%
Draws
4%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Galicia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ipitanga.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Galicia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Ipitanga
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 13 3
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
0:3
May 4, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
1:0
Jun 10, 2012 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
3:0
May 12, 2012 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 85 / 100
Ipitanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia scored in 66% of their last 44 games.

Ipitanga let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Galicia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ipitanga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Ypiranga861119:719
2Botafogo BA843115:715
3Galicia834115:913
4Ipitanga811610:244
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas80354:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo862011:420
2Jacuipense843110:515
3AD Astro83327:412
4Jequie82247:148
5Guanambi AC80080:80