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Galicia vs Leonico

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Baiano 2 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2007 game between Galicia and Leonico finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Galicia
15%
Draws
42%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Galicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Galicia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Galicia Clean Sheet 17%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Leonico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
1:3
Jun 27, 2024 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Leonico
0:0
May 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
1:4
Sep 2, 2007 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
0:4
Aug 12, 2007 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Leonico
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 28 / 100
Leonico 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Leonico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Galicia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Leonico
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feirense 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Galicia 10 7 0 3 23:11 21
3 Guanambi AC 10 7 0 3 16:13 21
4 Camacariense 10 3 2 5 9:17 11
5 AD Astro 10 2 1 7 13:15 7
6 Leonico 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2007 (Play Offs)