Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Hernandez D.
80'
80'
Chacon S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Gallipoli and Bitonto finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bitonto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gallipoli come out ahead of Bitonto on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gallipoli Clean Sheet 68%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gallipoli | Bitonto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gallipoli vs Bitonto
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gallipoli
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gallipoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Bitonto Compare
Top Goalscorer Chacon S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gallipoli 41 / 100
Bitonto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gallipoli Bitonto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gallipoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bitonto conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Bitonto lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Gallipoli scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Gallipoli VS Bitonto
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gallipoli
(Home) 12 May
Angri
2 : 0 Gallipoli
05 May
Martina Calcio
1 : 1 Gallipoli
28 Apr
Gallipoli
1 : 1 Angri
21 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1 Gallipoli
14 Apr
Gallipoli
0 : 3 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Gallipoli
1 : 1 Angri
14 Apr
Gallipoli
0 : 3 Gravina
28 Mar
Gallipoli
2 : 3 Palmese 1914
17 Mar
Gallipoli
1 : 0 Gelbison
03 Mar
Gallipoli
1 : 1 Bitonto
Page 1 of 3
Bitonto
(Away) 05 May
Casarano
2 : 1 Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1 Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1 Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0 Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1 Bitonto
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1 Bitonto
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1 Bitonto
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1 Bitonto
24 Mar
Rotonda
3 : 0 Bitonto
10 Mar
Manfredonia
1 : 1 Bitonto
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altamura | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 72 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 51:23 | 66 |
| 3 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 53:24 | 65 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 61 |
| 5 | Casarano | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:32 | 55 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Paganese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:52 | 45 |
| 9 | Gelbison | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Rotonda | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 49:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 28:38 | 41 |
| 13 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 38:57 | 41 |
| 14 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Gallipoli | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 27:49 | 33 |
| 16 | Barletta | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Bitonto | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 22:45 | 30 |
| 18 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 22:55 | 25 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)
