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Gallipoli vs Gravina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lauria G.
50' Event
Mateus da Silva
90' Event
Mateus da Silva

AI Match Summary

Gravina in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gallipoli
35%
Draws
46%
Gravina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gravina have won more games recently than Gallipoli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gallipoli Clean Sheet 22%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gallipoli Gravina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gallipoli vs Gravina
0:3
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Gallipoli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gallipoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus da Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lauria G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gallipoli 32 / 100
Gravina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gallipoli Gravina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gravina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gallipoli scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Gallipoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gravina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gallipoli

(Home)
12 May
Angri
2 : 0
Gallipoli
05 May
Martina Calcio
1 : 1
Gallipoli
28 Apr
Gallipoli
1 : 1
Angri
21 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Gallipoli
14 Apr
Gallipoli
0 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

Gravina

(Away)
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0
Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)