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Galvez vs Guarany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Galvez
15%
Draws
49%
Guarany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galvez come out ahead of Guarany on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guarany's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Galvez have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Galvez Clean Sheet 14%
Guarany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galvez Guarany
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Galvez
2:0
Sep 13, 2021 Serie D
Galvez vs Guarany
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galvez 10 / 100
Guarany 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galvez Guarany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galvez scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Guarany conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Guarany registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Galvez VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galvez

(Home)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Galvez
2 : 6
Porto Velho
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
16 May
Galvez
4 : 2
SC Humaita
09 May
Guapore
1 : 0
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

Guarany

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarany
0 : 2
Campinense
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1
Guarany
20 Sept
Guarany
2 : 0
Galvez
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0
Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1
Guarany
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Juazeirense 1
Paragominas 3
Sao Raimundo RR 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 2
Santo Andre 1
Brasiliense 0
Ferroviaria 1
America RN 3
Itabaiana 1
Moto Club 4
Castanhal 1
Galvez 0
Guarany 2
Sergipe 3
Campinense 4
Uberlandia 3
Nova Mutum EC 1
Bangu 2
Joinville 3
Cianorte 3
FC Cascavel 0
Caldense 2
Aparecidense 3
SER Caxias do Sul 2
Portuguesa 1
Uniao Rondonopolis 3
Boa 1
Penarol 1
Julho Esporte 3
Retro 3
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Atletico Cearense 3
Paragominas 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 2
Ferroviaria 3
America RN 5
Moto Club 2
Guarany 1
Campinense 4
Uberlandia 3
Joinville 2
Cianorte 0
Aparecidense 1
SER Caxias do Sul 4
Uniao Rondonopolis 0
Julho Esporte 1
ABC 3
Quarter-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Ferroviaria 1
America RN 0
Campinense 1
Uberlandia 1
Aparecidense 2
SER Caxias do Sul 0
ABC 3
Semi-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Campinense 4
Aparecidense 4
ABC 3
Final
Campinense 1
Aparecidense 2