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Galway United vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Eamonn Deacy Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wolfe M.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Lomboto F.
38' Event
Wolfe M.

AI Match Summary

The FAI Cup game between Galway United and Crumlin Utd finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Galway United
39%
Draws
31%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin Utd come out ahead of Galway United on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FAI Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Galway United Clean Sheet 68%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Galway United vs Crumlin Utd
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomboto F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wolfe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Crumlin Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 41 / 100
Crumlin Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Crumlin Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Galway United found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Crumlin Utd has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Galway United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS Crumlin Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Crumlin Utd4
Salthill0
Douglas Hall1
Fanad United0
Castlebar Celtic3
North End United0
TBD-
TBD-
Lucan Utd5
University College Cork2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liffey Wanderers1
Ringmahon Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
Baldoyle Utd.2
Leicester Celtic AFC0
TBD-
TBD-
St. Patricks-
TBD-
TBD-
Wexford-
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic4
River Valley Rangers1
College Corinthians2
Killester Donnycarney1
St. Michaels1
Janesboro3
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
TBD-
Midleton2
Mayfield Utd0
Wayside Celtic3
St Mochta's4
TBD-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
TBD-
Fairview Rangers0
Tolka3
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
1/16-finals
Galway United-
Crumlin Utd-
Douglas Hall-
Castlebar Celtic-
Drogheda-
Lucan Utd-
Finn Harps-
Bray-
Ringmahon Rangers-
Bohemians-
Baldoyle Utd.-
Longford-
St. Patricks-
Wexford-
Waterford-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic-
College Corinthians-
Janesboro-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
Midleton-
St Mochta's-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
Tolka-
Shamrock Rovers-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
Shelbourne-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-