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Galway United vs Crumlin Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wolfe M.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Lomboto F.
38' Event
Wolfe M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Galway United
15%
Draws
48%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin Utd come out ahead of Galway United on wins alone.
  • Galway United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Galway United Clean Sheet 20%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Galway United vs Crumlin Utd
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomboto F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wolfe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Crumlin Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 42 / 100
Crumlin Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Galway United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Crumlin Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Galway United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS Crumlin Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -