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Gama vs America RN

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
4 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Soares R.
23' Event
Matheus Regis
34' Event
Luiz Thiago

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gama
20%
Draws
48%
America RN
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Gama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gama, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gama Clean Sheet 18%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama America RN
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs America RN
4:2
Jul 19, 2026 Serie D
America RN vs Gama
1:0
May 25, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
America RN vs Gama
3:2
May 14, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gama vs America RN
1:0
Nov 4, 2008 Serie B
Gama vs America RN
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Regis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Thiago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 32 / 100
America RN 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama America RN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Gama found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

America RN has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS America RN
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 7

America RN

(Away)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3