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Gama vs ARUC

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
2 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
88' Event
Lucas Lourenco

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Gama and ARUC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gama
15%
Draws
0%
ARUC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gama are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
ARUC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama ARUC
Matches Played 47 16
Wins 34 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs ARUC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Guerreiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Lourenco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

ARUC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 95 / 100
ARUC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama ARUC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama scored in 85% of their last 47 games.

Difficult form: ARUC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

ARUC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
Page 1 of 10

ARUC

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
21 Feb
Gama
2 : 0
ARUC
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
08 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
ARUC
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)