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Gama vs CD Revilla

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Vega Saenz E.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Rios D.
Own Goal
39' Event
Mirones D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Gama and CD Revilla finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gama
20%
Draws
38%
CD Revilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • CD Revilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Revilla have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 20%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama CD Revilla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs CD Revilla
4:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs CD Revilla
2:5
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
3:0
Jan 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Crespo M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laherran C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

CD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirones D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 32 / 100
CD Revilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama CD Revilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Revilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CD Revilla conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gama scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Revilla
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

CD Revilla

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0
Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)