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Gama vs Naval Reinosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
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Match Events

6' Event
Lombera R.
21' Event
De Maria Gonzalez J. M.
40' Event
Martinez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Gama and Naval Reinosa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naval Reinosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Gama
15%
Draws
8%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naval Reinosa come out ahead of Gama on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 14%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Naval Reinosa
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Gama
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Gama
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Naval Reinosa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Lombera R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer De Maria Gonzalez J. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 84 / 100
Naval Reinosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naval Reinosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Naval Reinosa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Naval Reinosa
2.14 Goals Scored 1
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

Naval Reinosa

(Away)
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)