Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gama vs Paranoa

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Gama Logo

Gama

1 - 0
FT
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Coelho N. M.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Gama
15%
Draws
26%
Paranoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gama lately — more wins on the board than Paranoa.
  • Gama are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Paranoa
Matches Played 54 33
Wins 40 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
4:1
Feb 1, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
2:0
Feb 12, 2023 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Gama
1:1
Feb 3, 2022 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 95 / 100
Paranoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Paranoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama scored in 87% of their last 54 games.

Paranoa let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
Page 1 of 11

Paranoa

(Away)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)