Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gama vs Paranoa

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lopeu
57'
Teixeira J.
71' Event
Felipe Clemente

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Gama and Paranoa finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gama
20%
Draws
22%
Paranoa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of Paranoa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Paranoa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
4:1
Feb 1, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
2:0
Feb 12, 2023 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Gama
1:1
Feb 3, 2022 Brasiliense
Gama vs Paranoa
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Piaui
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Paranoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 95 / 100
Paranoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Paranoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Paranoa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Gama has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
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Paranoa

(Away)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)