Sport Picks

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Gama vs Real Brasilia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Gama Logo

Gama

1 - 0
FT
Real Brasilia Logo

Real Brasilia

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Willian Junior
90'
Leonardo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gama
20%
Draws
34%
Real Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gama have won more games recently than Real Brasilia.
  • Gama are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Real Brasilia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.66 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Real Brasilia
1:0
Feb 13, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Real Brasilia
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Gama
2:2
Feb 8, 2023 Brasiliense
Gama vs Real Brasilia
0:1
Aug 8, 2020 Brasiliense
Gama vs Real Brasilia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Real Brasilia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 77 / 100
Real Brasilia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Real Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Brasilia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gama has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
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Real Brasilia

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3
Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Ceilandia
2 : 0
Real Brasilia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)