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Gama vs Samambaia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Gama and Samambaia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gama
20%
Draws
40%
Samambaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of Samambaia on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Samambaia taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Gama Clean Sheet 24%
Samambaia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Samambaia
Matches Played 45 31
Wins 32 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.64 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Samambaia
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Brasiliense
Samambaia vs Gama
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Brasiliense
Gama vs Samambaia
2:1
Mar 12, 2023 Brasiliense
Gama vs Samambaia
0:1
Feb 5, 2018 Brasiliense
Gama vs Samambaia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 25 / 100
Samambaia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Samambaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Samambaia conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 9

Samambaia

(Away)
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)