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Gama vs Santa Maria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Diogo Oliveira

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gama
20%
Draws
0%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gama lately — more wins on the board than Santa Maria.
  • Gama are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Santa Maria
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:5
Feb 15, 2023 Brasiliense
Gama vs Santa Maria
1:0
Feb 10, 2022 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
2:2
Apr 3, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:0
Feb 9, 2019 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Santa Maria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 95 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gama scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Santa Maria let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Maria lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 7

Santa Maria

(Away)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Brasilia 9 5 3 1 13:6 18
2 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 18:9 15
3 Capital 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 Paranoa 9 4 3 2 14:15 15
5 Gama 9 4 2 3 8:6 14
6 Ceilandia 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
7 Samambaia 9 4 1 4 16:16 13
8 Santa Maria 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
9 Taguatinga 9 2 1 6 12:19 7
10 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
Promotion - Brasiliense 2023 (Play Offs)