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Stadium Background

Gamba Osaka vs Eastern AA

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Okubo Y.
28' Event
Welton
Assist: Mitsuta M.
29' Event
Gil Martins
Assist: Okubo Y.

AI Match Summary

Gamba Osaka in this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gamba Osaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Gamba Osaka
35%
Draws
9%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gamba Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA haven't matched Gamba Osaka's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gamba Osaka a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 68%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamba Osaka Eastern AA
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.01 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Eastern AA vs Gamba Osaka
0:5
Sep 17, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Gamba Osaka vs Eastern AA
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gamba Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Welton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usami T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.5

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamba Osaka 95 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamba Osaka Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gamba Osaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gamba Osaka found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Eastern AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Gamba Osaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gamba Osaka VS Eastern AA
2.63 Goals Scored 1.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamba Osaka

(Home)
02 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 2
Gamba Osaka
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Aug
Gamba Osaka
2 : 0
Reilac Shiga
22 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 1
Gamba Osaka
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1
Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 7

Eastern AA

(Away)
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 6 4 2 0 15:6 14
2 Esteghlal TEH 6 2 2 2 8:10 8
3 Al-Muharraq 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Al Wehdat 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahli 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
2 Arkadag 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
3 Al Khalidiyah 6 1 3 2 3:3 6
4 Andijan 6 0 5 1 1:3 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Sepahan 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ahal 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
4 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 6 6 0 0 22:2 18
2 Al Zawraa 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
3 Istiqlol Dushanbe 6 3 0 3 7:13 9
4 FC Goa 6 0 0 6 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macarthur FC 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Cong An Ha Noi 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Tai Po 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Beijing Guoan 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gamba Osaka 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Ratchaburi 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
3 Nam Dinh 6 3 0 3 14:7 9
4 Eastern AA 6 0 0 6 2:30 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Bangkok Utd 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Lion City Sailors 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
4 Selangor 6 0 1 5 7:15 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampines 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Pohang 6 4 1 1 7:2 13
3 Pathum United 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
4 Kaya FC 6 0 0 6 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)