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Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ting D.
36'
Limwannasthian T.
46'
Sub
Hatsuse R. In: Kishimoto T.
Out: Hatsuse R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gamba Osaka
15%
Draws
42%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gamba Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Medium Confidence
  • Gamba Osaka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gamba Osaka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gamba Osaka, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gamba Osaka have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamba Osaka Ratchaburi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi
1:1
Dec 11, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi
2:0
Oct 2, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gamba Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawata G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ting D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamba Osaka 30 / 100
Ratchaburi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamba Osaka Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ratchaburi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Gamba Osaka scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Gamba Osaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gamba Osaka VS Ratchaburi
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamba Osaka

(Home)
07 Aug
Gamba Osaka
4 : 3
Urawa Reds
24 Jul
Kanazawa
0 : 6
Gamba Osaka
15 Jul
Salzburg
0 : 3
Gamba Osaka
11 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 0
Gamba Osaka
06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4
Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 7

Ratchaburi

(Away)
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Zawraa 5
Al Wasl 6
Arkadag 0
Al Nassr 2
Sepahan 2
Al Ahli 3
Esteghlal TEH 2
Al Hussein 4
Pohang 2
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 3
Persib Bandung 1
Bangkok Utd 4
Macarthur FC 2
Cong An Ha Noi 1
Tampines 6
Quarter-finals
Al Wasl 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Ahli 3
Al Hussein 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 2
Bangkok Utd 4
Tampines 3
Semi-finals
Al Nassr 5
Al Ahli 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Bangkok Utd 1
Final
Al Nassr 0
Gamba Osaka 1