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Stadium Background

Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Gamba Osaka Logo

Gamba Osaka

1 - 1
FT
Ratchaburi Logo

Ratchaburi

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ting D.
36'
Limwannasthian T.
46'
Sub
Hatsuse R. In: Kishimoto T.
Out: Hatsuse R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gamba Osaka
15%
Draws
46%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ratchaburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ratchaburi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gamba Osaka, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gamba Osaka have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamba Osaka Ratchaburi
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.81 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi
1:1
Dec 11, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi
2:0
Oct 2, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gamba Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawata G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ting D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamba Osaka 30 / 100
Ratchaburi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamba Osaka Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gamba Osaka found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Ratchaburi let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Gamba Osaka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gamba Osaka VS Ratchaburi
2.13 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamba Osaka

(Home)
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0
Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 7

Ratchaburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Zawraa 5
Al Wasl 6
Arkadag 0
Al Nassr 2
Sepahan 2
Al Ahli 3
Esteghlal TEH 2
Al Hussein 4
Pohang 2
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 3
Persib Bandung 1
Bangkok Utd 4
Macarthur FC 2
Cong An Ha Noi 1
Tampines 6
Quarter-finals
Al Wasl 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Ahli 3
Al Hussein 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 2
Bangkok Utd 4
Tampines 3
Semi-finals
Al Nassr 5
Al Ahli 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Bangkok Utd 1
Final
Al Nassr 0
Gamba Osaka 1