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Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gamba Osaka
15%
Draws
46%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Gamba Osaka haven't matched Shonan Bellmare's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Gamba Osaka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 18%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamba Osaka Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka
4:5
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare
4:0
Aug 21, 2024 Emperors Cup
Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamba Osaka 58 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamba Osaka Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gamba Osaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Gamba Osaka's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shonan Bellmare conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Gamba Osaka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gamba Osaka VS Shonan Bellmare
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamba Osaka

(Home)
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0
Gamba Osaka
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Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
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