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Gambia U20 vs South Sudan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 Haras El-Hodod Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bojang A.
Assist: Saine A.
11'
Sub
Mabior R. In: Sarfino N.
Out: Mabior R.
28' Event
Jarju M.
Assist: Colley S.

AI Match Summary

Gambia U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gambia U20
30%
Draws
39%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Gambia U20 have won more games recently than South Sudan U20.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Gambia U20 taking it.
  • Gambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs South Sudan U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojang A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jarju M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

South Sudan U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U20 50 / 100
South Sudan U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U20 South Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gambia U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: South Sudan U20 conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

Gambia U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U20 VS South Sudan U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 1
Benin U20 0
Congo U20 3
Tunisia U20 4
Uganda U20 0
Nigeria U20 1
Gambia U20 5
South Sudan U20 0
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 3
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Final
Senegal U20 2
Gambia U20 0
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 4