Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gambia vs Gabon

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gambia
15%
Draws
36%
Gabon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gabon have won more games recently than Gambia.
  • Model gives Gambia a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Gabon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gambia Clean Sheet 13%
Gabon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Gabon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Gambia vs Gabon
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 African Nations Championship
Gabon vs Gambia
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 African Nations Championship
Gambia vs Gabon
0:0
Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
Gabon vs Gambia
3:2
Nov 16, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Gambia vs Gabon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia 84 / 100
Gabon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Gabon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gambia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gabon conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Gabon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gambia VS Gabon
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia

(Home)
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
10 Oct
Gambia
3 : 4
Gabon
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Gabon

(Away)
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
24 Dec
Cameroon
1 : 0
Gabon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comoros 0
Malawi 4
South Africa 4
Egypt 2
Gambia 1
Gabon 0
TBD -
Algeria -
Final
Malawi 1
South Africa 2
Gambia 0
Algeria 3