Sport Picks
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting Prediction & H2H Stats
Azerbaijan
I Liqa 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Allahverdiyev I.
34'
34'
Abdullayev E.
56'
56'
Huseynov H.
AI Match Summary
Baku Sporting in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baku Sporting.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Baku Sporting lately — more wins on the board than Gancabasar.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Gancabasar taking it.
- Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Baku Sporting have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 68%
Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gancabasar | Baku Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
2:3
Feb 18, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
1:2
Nov 5, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Gancabasar
2:0
May 1, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Gancabasar
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gancabasar Compare
Top Goalscorer Huseynov H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Baku Sporting Compare
Top Goalscorer Allahverdiyev I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdullayev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gancabasar 95 / 100
Baku Sporting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gancabasar Baku Sporting
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gancabasar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Baku Sporting let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Gancabasar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gancabasar VS Baku Sporting
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gancabasar
(Home) 17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3 Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1 FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2 Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3 Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0 Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1 FC Khankendi
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3 Shimal
07 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3 Baku Sporting
22 Apr
Gancabasar
2 : 1 Mingachevir
08 Apr
Gancabasar
3 : 2 Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 3
Baku Sporting
(Away) 17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1 Sabail
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0 Baku Sporting
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3 Karvan
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1 Baku Sporting
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0 Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0 Baku Sporting
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1 Baku Sporting
07 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3 Baku Sporting
23 Apr
Shimal
1 : 0 Baku Sporting
02 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0 Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safa Baku | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Mingachevir | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sabail | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 46:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40:23 | 49 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 43 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Zaqatala PFK | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 27:44 | 28 |
| 8 | Gancabasar | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 40:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23:61 | 20 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 28:60 | 18 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)
