Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gancabasar vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Gancabasar Logo

Gancabasar

Thu, Apr 3, 2025
3 - 0
09:00 AM
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar host Lokbatan in the I Liqa 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Gancabasar at 1.61 goals for, 1.88 against; Lokbatan at 1.1 for, 1.77 against. Head-to-head, Gancabasar have won 2 to Lokbatan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back Gancabasar to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Gancabasar
15%
Draws
8%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Gancabasar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gancabasar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gancabasar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 68%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar Lokbatan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Lokbatan
3:0
Jan 31, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gancabasar
2:0
Oct 2, 2024 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Lokbatan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 95 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gancabasar's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lokbatan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gancabasar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS Lokbatan
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 7

Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)