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Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Huseynli S.
50' Event
Huseynov H.
Own Goal
51' Event
Andzouono E.

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gancabasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gancabasar
15%
Draws
37%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gancabasar lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
  • Model gives Gancabasar a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 16%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
Mar 13, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Gancabasar
1:0
May 23, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Dec 19, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Gancabasar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gancabasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseynli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andzouono E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismayilov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 84 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gancabasar scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Zaqatala PFK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gancabasar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS Zaqatala PFK
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)