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Gangneung vs Busan Kyotong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Yong-jun J.
57' Event
Park Ha-Bean

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gangneung
30%
Draws
33%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gangneung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong have won more games recently than Gangneung.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Busan Kyotong
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Gangneung
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Busan Kyotong
2:1
Jun 6, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Gangneung
2:0
Jul 13, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Busan Kyotong
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Ha-Bean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Yong-jun J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 41 / 100
Busan Kyotong 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gangneung Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gangneung scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Busan Kyotong has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Gangneung stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Busan Kyotong
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangneung

(Home)
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
25 Jul
Gangneung
1 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Busan Kyotong

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)